Sells condensed soup by cooking out half the water at its Camden factory, locking that format into grocery shelves and institutional kitchens.
At a glance
Depends onDownstream position: depends on 8 industries, supplies 5
ScaleMarket cap is above the global median
FinancialsAltman Z-Score: grey zone
Interpretations5 currently firing — 1 · 4
What this company is and how it runs — written from structure, not news.
Nature view
Campbell Soup Company makes condensed soup by running its Camden facility's retort systems at specific temperature-pressure profiles that drive off roughly half the water in a batch, producing a shelf-stable concentrate that consumers reconstitute by adding water at home. Because the thermal curves that achieve stable viscosity at that concentration ratio took decades of recipe optimization to develop and leave no recoverable signature in the finished product, a competitor can buy retort equipment but cannot work backward from a can of soup to the calibrated protocol needed to pass FDA food safety validation. That process output — a can with specific physical dimensions and a known dilution ratio — is what grocery retailers have encoded into automated shelf-ordering software and foodservice kitchens have written into recipe cards, so switching away from Campbell's requires IT updates, shelf reconfiguration, and kitchen retraining rather than just a different purchasing decision. The same thing that makes the format hard to copy also makes it fragile to FDA sodium mandates: if the recipes must change substantially, the proven retort profiles no longer reliably produce a safe, shelf-stable product, and every item in the condensed portfolio must be revalidated from scratch.
How does this company make money?
Campbell's earns revenue each time a packaged product — a can of soup, a box of Goldfish, a Pepperidge Farm item — ships from its factories or distribution centers to a grocery retailer or foodservice operator. Revenue is recorded at the point of shipment to the customer.
What makes this company hard to replace?
Grocery retailers' shelf-management software has Campbell's can dimensions and case-pack sizes coded directly into automated ordering systems — switching to a different supplier means IT updates and physical reconfiguration of the shelf, not just a purchasing decision. Foodservice customers have Campbell's condensed dilution ratios written into recipe cards and portion control systems, so swapping products requires kitchen staff retraining and yield testing to make sure the new product performs the same way in large-volume preparation.
What limits this company?
The Camden facility's steam infrastructure is built to handle exactly the throughput that condensed soup requires. There is no way to produce more without expanding that steam capacity — and any expansion would also require revalidating every product's food safety protocol with the FDA before a single extra can could ship. That combination of physical infrastructure and regulatory approval caps how fast output can grow.
What does this company depend on?
Campbell's cannot run without tomato paste from California Central Valley processors, wheat flour from Midwest grain elevators, retort equipment supplied by JBT Corporation, natural gas piped to the Camden facility to generate the steam the retorts require, and an active FDA food facility registration that permits thermal processing operations.
Who depends on this company?
Grocery retailers like Kroger and Walmart have built their soup aisle shelf plans around the red-and-white can's specific dimensions and case sizes — if Campbell's disappeared, those retailers would face physical shelf reconfiguration and software updates before any replacement product could slot in. Foodservice distributors supply institutional kitchens that use Campbell's condensed format as the baseline for volume soup preparation, so those kitchens would need to retest recipes and retrain staff. Snack distributors that carry Goldfish and Pepperidge Farm products depend on the margins those lines generate to make their delivery routes profitable.
How does this company scale?
Brand recognition and existing shelf space carry new product extensions — like a new soup flavor or a cracker variety — into stores without much added cost, because the retail relationships and planogram slots already exist. What does not scale easily is the thermal processing knowledge itself: each new product category needs its own retort temperatures, timing cycles, and quality checks, and that work requires specialized food scientists who cannot be replaced by automation.
What external forces can significantly affect this company?
Climate change threatens tomato yields in the California Central Valley, which could force Campbell's to find and qualify new suppliers in different regions. FDA nutritional guidelines pushing for lower sodium levels could require reformulating the entire condensed soup portfolio. USDA organic certification rules, if they apply to more ingredients, would raise raw material costs and make qualifying suppliers more complicated.
Where is this company structurally vulnerable?
If the FDA issued rules requiring Campbell's to cut sodium across its condensed soup line, every recipe in the portfolio would have to change. Changing the recipe changes how the soup behaves under heat and pressure, which means the thermal settings proven to produce a safe, shelf-stable product would no longer work reliably. Campbell's would have to revalidate each product from scratch — dismantling the one thing, proven retort calibration, that no competitor can simply buy.
Price is read as structure — trend, levels, range, peak and volatility drawn on the chart. It does not predict where price goes next.
1 interpretation currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Multi-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value Growth
Three observations describe the present configuration: a high share of the trailing three years' weekly closes were higher than the prior week, the company has reported positive net income in each of the last five annual periods, and the book-value-increase-consistency composite over the trailing 5 years is elevated.
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
What the company actually pays, and whether its own cash supports it.
Dividends view
Yield
7.07%Above 5Y avg (3.78%)
Annual Rate
USD 1.56Paid quarterly
Payout Ratio
76.5%Moderate
Consecutive Growth
1 yr
Paying Dividends
23 yr
Payback Period
14.0 yr
Last Ex-Dividend
Jul 2, 2026
Next Payment
Aug 3, 2026
The reported statements, read against the company's own industry.
Financials view
Market Capitalization
6.58BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Trailing P/E
11.10x
vs Packaged Foods peers
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Revenue (TTM)
9.93BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Profit Margin
6.12%
vs Packaged Foods peers
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Beta
-0.0010x
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 18, 2026
52-Week Change
-28.29%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Forward Annual Dividend Yield
7.07%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Market Capitalization
6.58BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Enterprise Value
13.69BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Trailing P/E
11.10x
vs Packaged Foods peers
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Gross Margin
27.47%
vs Packaged Foods peers
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Profit Margin
6.12%
vs Packaged Foods peers
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Operating Margin
13.10%
vs Packaged Foods peers
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Shares Outstanding
298.15MSharesUpdated Jul 18, 2026
Float Shares
192.29MSharesUpdated Jul 18, 2026
Shares Short
46.36MSharesUpdated Jul 18, 2026
Short Ratio
3.66days
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Short % of Shares Outstanding
52-Week Low
19.56USDUpdated Jul 18, 2026
52-Week High
34.17USDUpdated Jul 18, 2026
52-Week Change
-28.29%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 18, 2026
Beta
-0.0010x
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 18, 2026
4 interpretations currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Three multi-year observations co-occur: revenue increased year-over-year in each of the last three fiscal years, gross profit (absolute level) increased year-over-year in each of the last four fiscal years, and net income was positive in each of the last five fiscal years. The configuration describes growth-and-profitability persistence across three different windows.
Reads
How is this stock valued?
Close Below 40W SMA With Profitability
Three observations describe the present configuration: the current close sits below the 40-week SMA (the conventional 'below 200-day SMA'), the company has reported positive net income in each of the last three annual periods, and operating cash flow exceeded net income in the most recent annual period.
Reads
Drawdown With FCF And Cash Backing
Three observations describe the present configuration: drawdown from the trailing peak is significant, free cash flow has been positive in each of the last three annual periods, and operating cash flow exceeded net income in the most recent annual period.
Reads
Where is this company structurally exposed?
Elevated Leverage on Three Denominators
Three leverage observations have converged at elevated readings: debt is large relative to equity, large relative to total assets, and large relative to trailing operating cash flow. The capital structure is leveraged on three different denominators at once.
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
Shared structure with peers — never a ranking.
Relationships view
Structural observations derived from financial data, industry benchmarks, and supply chain position.
Financial Health
Altman Z-Score: grey zoneSignificant
Altman Z-Score: 1.69
High earnings qualityNotable
Earnings Quality Score: 1.11
High structural barrier to entryNotable
Barrier to Entry: 1.02
Supply Chain
Downstream position: depends on 8 industries, supplies 5Notable
Outgoing: 5.00Incoming: 8.00
High connectivity hub: 13 industry connectionsNotable
Total Connections: 13.00
Scale
Market cap is above the global medianNotable
Market cap (USD): 6,584,393,845Global Median: 1,131,585,792.619
Drawdown With FCF And Cash BackingMulti-Year Revenue, Profit, And Income GrowthMulti-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value GrowthClose Below 40W SMA With Profitability
Drawdown With FCF And Cash BackingMulti-Year Revenue, Profit, And Income GrowthMulti-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value GrowthClose Below 40W SMA With Profitability