Sells bubble tea franchises to nearly 9,800 lower-tier Chinese city shops and delivers fresh ingredients to them every day by its own refrigerated trucks.
At a glance
Depends onDownstream position: depends on 11 industries, supplies 5
ScaleLevered free cash flow is in the bottom 5% globally
FinancialsBeneish M-Score above the model's screening threshold
Interpretations11 currently firing — 11
What this company is and how it runs — written from structure, not news.
Nature view
Guming Holdings runs a bubble tea franchise network of nearly 9,800 outlets concentrated in lower-tier Chinese cities, where it sells fresh fruit and dairy ingredients to its own franchisees every single day through a refrigerated cold chain that radiates outward from its Hangzhou headquarters. Because fresh bubble tea ingredients spoil within hours, each franchisee depends on that daily cold chain delivery just to open, and because the franchise agreement requires all ingredient purchases to flow through Guming's own distribution system, every delivery also generates an ingredient-supply margin — which is what makes the business financially different from a company that simply collects royalties. Franchisees are locked in tightly: they have already bought Good me-specific equipment, signed multi-year agreements, and built customer expectations around an ingredient freshness that no ambient-distribution competitor has yet managed to replicate in those markets. The same geographic concentration that makes the cold chain hard to copy also makes it fragile — if Chinese regulators found temperature-documentation failures across multiple routes simultaneously, deliveries would be suspended across entire regions at once, and the freshness guarantee that holds the whole system together would collapse with them.
How does this company make money?
Good me earns money in three ways. First, it collects a franchise fee each time a new outlet opens. Second, it collects ongoing royalty payments from franchisees based on how much those shops sell. Third, and most distinctively, it marks up the price of the fresh ingredients it ships to franchisees through its cold chain every day — because the franchise agreement makes buying through that system mandatory, every delivery generates an ingredient-margin payment that a pure royalty model would not capture.
What makes this company hard to replace?
Franchisees have already spent money on Good me-specific preparation equipment and store designs that do not transfer to another brand. They have signed multi-year franchise agreements that include territorial exclusivity clauses. Their shops have built a regular customer base around a specific ingredient quality that only Good me's cold chain delivers — switching would mean scrapping the equipment, breaking the contract, and starting over with a supplier who has not yet proven it can reach their city.
What limits this company?
Adding new cities means building new refrigerated delivery routes first, because third-party refrigerated trucking in lower-tier Chinese cities is thin. Good me cannot sign a single new franchisee in a new region until its own cold chain reaches that region. The trucks and distribution nodes have to come before the shops, so the pace of expansion is capped by how fast the cold chain can be physically extended out of Hangzhou.
What does this company depend on?
Good me cannot run without fresh fruit suppliers providing daily fruit tea ingredients, dairy processors supplying milk and cream, its own refrigerated trucking fleet moving those ingredients through the cold chain, specialized bubble tea preparation equipment manufacturers supplying franchise locations, and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, where it is listed and through which it accesses capital.
Who depends on this company?
Nearly 9,800 franchisees rely on Good me's daily deliveries for their entire revenue — if the deliveries stop, the shops stop. Consumers in lower-tier Chinese cities who want freshly prepared bubble tea have no comparable alternative source nearby. Cold chain transport providers whose routes have been optimized around Good me's delivery schedules would also lose their primary business if the company stopped operating.
How does this company scale?
Every new outlet that opens adds franchise fee income and daily ingredient-margin revenue without requiring Good me's Hangzhou headquarters to grow proportionally — the financial side scales easily. What does not scale easily is the cold chain itself: each new region needs dedicated refrigerated routes and regional distribution centers that cannot be handed off to third parties without risking the freshness standards the whole model rests on, so logistics infrastructure remains the hard constraint as the company grows.
What external forces can significantly affect this company?
Chinese food safety regulations require temperature documentation at every stage of the cold chain, meaning a rule change or stricter enforcement could force costly operational overhauls. Demographic migration away from lower-tier cities toward major urban centers gradually shrinks the pool of customers Good me's outlets serve. Yuan exchange rate movements affect how Good me's earnings look to investors on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and how easily the company can raise capital there.
Where is this company structurally vulnerable?
Chinese food safety rules require continuous temperature records throughout the cold chain. If regulators found that Good me's refrigeration documentation was non-compliant across multiple routes at once, they could suspend deliveries across entire regions simultaneously. Because the whole system runs through one Hangzhou-anchored network, a multi-region compliance failure would cut fresh-ingredient supply to hundreds or thousands of shops at the same time — the same geographic concentration that makes the cold chain valuable would make the collapse wide rather than local.
Price is read as structure — trend, levels, range, peak and volatility drawn on the chart. It does not predict where price goes next.
What the company actually pays, and whether its own cash supports it.
Dividends view
Yield
1.21%
Annual Rate
HKD 0.25Paid unknown
Payout Ratio
0.0%Sustainable
Next Ex-Dividend
Jul 28, 2026
The reported statements, read against the company's own industry.
Financials view
Market Capitalization
60.03BHKD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Trailing P/E
17.04x
vs Restaurants peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Revenue (TTM)
14.95BCNY
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Profit Margin
24.08%
vs Restaurants peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
52-Week Change
-17.60%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Forward Annual Dividend Yield
1.21%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Market Capitalization
60.03BHKD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Enterprise Value
58.03BHKD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Trailing P/E
17.04x
vs Restaurants peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Gross Margin
30.77%
vs Restaurants peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Profit Margin
24.08%
vs Restaurants peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Operating Margin
24.45%
vs Restaurants peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Shares Outstanding
2.38BSharesUpdated Jul 14, 2026
Float Shares
515.80MSharesUpdated Jul 14, 2026
% Held by Insiders
89.91%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
% Held by Institutions
6.04%
vs all stocks
52-Week Low
18.80HKDUpdated Jul 14, 2026
52-Week High
31.28HKDUpdated Jul 14, 2026
52-Week Change
-17.60%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
50-Day MA
22.54HKDUpdated Jul 14, 2026
200-Day MA
25.05
11 interpretations currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
MRQ Cash Elevated Relative To Total Debt With EBITDA And FCF Elevated Relative To Total Liabilities
Three observations have aligned: most-recent-quarter total cash is in the upper portion of its mapped range against most-recent-quarter total debt, EBITDA-to-total-liabilities is in the upper portion of its mapped range, and FCF-to-total-liabilities is in the upper portion of its mapped range.
Reads
How does this company use capital?
Working Capital Pattern
Three working-capital observations align: accounts receivable have increased every year over the trailing three years, inventory turnover is elevated (fast inventory cycling), and payables turnover is elevated (fast supplier payment — the opposite direction from what cash-conversion-cycle optimization usually targets). The three observation describe characteristics of the working-capital lines, not a coherent cycle-optimization profile.
Reads
Cash-Flow Ratios Elevated
Three cash-flow ratios have aligned: trailing twelve-month operating cash margin is in the upper industry-benchmarked range, free cash flow as a share of operating cash flow is in the upper industry-benchmarked range (meaning capex is a small share of operating cash), and annual operating cash flow divided by sales is high on its own scale.
Reads
FCF Ratios Elevated
Three FCF-denominator ratios co-occur in their elevated ranges: FCF/total assets, FCF/total shareholders' equity, and industry-benchmarked FCF/OCF. The configuration describes free cash flow scaling against three different denominators at the latest annual snapshot.
Reads
High ROE Relative To Gross Margin
Three observations align: return on equity is high relative to gross margin, revenue has grown for three consecutive years, and the company has been profitable for five years. Together they describe strong equity returns in a stable, growing context.
Reads
Operating Income Growing With Multi-Year Revenue Growth
Three observations describe the present configuration: operating income increased year-over-year in each of the last four fiscal years, the 6-year revenue CAGR is positive, and revenue increased year-over-year in each of the last five fiscal years. None of the three observations divides by revenue.
Reads
Multi-Year FCF With Growth And Margin
Four observations co-occur: free cash flow positive each of the last three fiscal years, revenue increased each of the last three fiscal years, trailing-statistics OCF margin elevated, and book value increased each of the last four fiscal years. The configuration describes multi-year fundamental persistence across cash flow, top line, margin, and equity accumulation.
Reads
Revenue Growing With Receivables Growing
Three observations align: revenue has increased every year over the trailing three years, receivables have increased every year over the trailing four years, and operating cash flow margin is on the industry-benchmarked scale. The picture is concurrent growth in revenue and receivables with peer-relative cash-conversion context.
Reads
Three Turnover Ratios Elevated
Three turnover observations have aligned at the most recent annual reporting period: sales-to-receivables is high (receivables small relative to revenue), cost-of-goods-to-inventory is high (inventory small relative to COGS), and cost-of-goods-to-payables is high (accounts payable small relative to COGS, indicating fast supplier payment rather than stretched terms).
Reads
Is this company growing?
Multi-Year Revenue And Profit Growth
Three growth observations align: net income CAGR over the trailing 6 years is positive, revenue CAGR over the trailing 6 years is positive, and a growth-consistency composite reads high. Together they describe a multi-year compound-growth pattern.
Reads
Multi-Year Revenue, Profit, And Income Growth
Three multi-year observations co-occur: revenue increased year-over-year in each of the last three fiscal years, gross profit (absolute level) increased year-over-year in each of the last four fiscal years, and net income was positive in each of the last five fiscal years. The configuration describes growth-and-profitability persistence across three different windows.
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
Shared structure with peers — never a ranking.
Relationships view
Structural observations derived from financial data, industry benchmarks, and supply chain position.
Financial Health
Beneish M-Score above the model's screening thresholdSignificant
Beneish M-Score: -0.02
Altman Z-Score: safe zoneNotable
Altman Z-Score: 10.58
Supply Chain
Downstream position: depends on 11 industries, supplies 5Notable
Outgoing: 5.00Incoming: 11.00
High connectivity hub: 16 industry connectionsNotable
Total Connections: 16.00
Scale
Levered free cash flow is in the bottom 5% globallySignificant
MRQ Cash Elevated Relative To Total Debt With EBITDA And FCF Elevated Relative To Total LiabilitiesFCF Ratios ElevatedCash-Flow Ratios ElevatedRevenue Growing With Receivables GrowingOperating Income Growing With Multi-Year Revenue GrowthMulti-Year Revenue, Profit, And Income GrowthMulti-Year Revenue And Profit GrowthMulti-Year FCF With Growth And Margin
MRQ Cash Elevated Relative To Total Debt With EBITDA And FCF Elevated Relative To Total LiabilitiesFCF Ratios ElevatedCash-Flow Ratios ElevatedOperating Income Growing With Multi-Year Revenue Growth
MRQ Cash Elevated Relative To Total Debt With EBITDA And FCF Elevated Relative To Total LiabilitiesRevenue Growing With Receivables GrowingOperating Income Growing With Multi-Year Revenue GrowthMulti-Year Revenue, Profit, And Income GrowthHigh ROE Relative To Gross MarginMulti-Year Revenue And Profit GrowthMulti-Year FCF With Growth And Margin