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Three signed-volume observations are simultaneously positive: the 30-week up-week-volume-share is above 50%, the Accumulation/Distribution line is positive, and the 60-week volume-weighted returns sum is net positive. The configuration describes more volume occurring on up periods than down periods over multiple lookbacks.
State
Up-week volume share majority over 30 weeks; positive A/D line; volume-weighted returns net positive
Emergence
Three signed-volume observations co-occur. The 30-week up-volume-share obs fires when the share of volume occurring on up-close weeks exceeds 50%. The Accumulation/Distribution line is at a positive reading. The volume-weighted returns sum is net positive over 60 weeks. The interpretation describes a present-state configuration of volume-on-up-periods exceeding volume-on-down-periods across three different lookbacks. It does not identify the source of flow (informed vs uninformed) and does not predict that the configuration precedes a price advance.
Limits
The underlying observations measure signed-volume sums and price-direction co-occurrence, not informed buying. The Wyckoff 'accumulation phase' framing asserts smart-money positioning and forecasts a markup phase — neither claim is supported by the obs. Configurations like this can resolve in either direction or persist without resolution. The three obs are not statistically independent — they all read the relationship between volume and weekly price direction over partially overlapping windows.
Explanation
Each observation is an independent reading of signed volume: Up-Week Volume as Share of Total Volume (30w) records the percentage of the trailing 30-week volume that occurred on weeks where the close was higher than the prior week. A reading above 50 means more volume fell on up-close weeks than down-close weeks. The obs reads weekly volume and weekly direction; it does not distinguish informed flow from coincidence. Accumulation/Distribution Line (Standard) is a cumulative volume-weighted indicator. A positive reading means signed-volume sums are net positive over the lookback. The 'accumulation' name is conventional; the formula reads volume and price, not buyer identity. Volume-Weighted Returns Sum Net Positive (60w) (Volume-Price Trend) confirms the 60-week sum of volume × percentage-return is net positive. The three together describe a signed-volume configuration across overlapping lookbacks. They do not identify informed buyers, predict price advance, or guarantee continuation.
Interpretation
This interpretation identifies accumulation characteristics, not buying opportunity. It does not predict price appreciation, guarantee breakout, or indicate timing. Accumulation patterns can fail, persist without resolution, or transition to distribution.
Required Observations
Up Week Volume Share 30w
Most of the trading volume in the last 30 weeks happened on weeks where the close was higher than the prior week.
Volume Price Trend
Cumulative volume × percentage-return sum is net positive over the recent window
Volume Weighted Close Position
Over 21 weeks, weekly closes have leaned toward the high of each bar, with heavier weight on higher-volume weeks.