ScaleLevered free cash flow is in the bottom 5% globally
FinancialsAltman Z-Score: grey zone
Interpretations3 currently firing — 3
What this company is and how it runs — written from structure, not news.
Nature view
NTPC Green Energy Ltd. builds solar and wind farms across India and sells the electricity they generate to state electricity boards and central government utilities at fixed tariffs locked into 20-25 year contracts. Because the company is a direct subsidiary of NTPC Limited, those contracts already carry Central Electricity Regulatory Commission approval and inherit the parent's credit standing, which means lenders price project debt against NTPC Limited's balance sheet rather than the subsidiary's own unproven record — so the offtake channel and the financing channel are the same relationship. That arrangement removes the competitive bidding process that any independent renewable developer must clear, but it also means both guarantees stand or fall together: if NTPC Limited's financial health weakens, the credit backing for project loans and the credibility of the offtake contracts degrade at the same moment. The other constraint is land — as the highest-irradiance solar zones and strongest wind corridors in Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Maharashtra fill up, each new gigawatt involves more fragmented landowners and more competing claims, so the administrative work per megawatt keeps growing even as the engineering stays the same.
How does this company make money?
The company earns a fixed amount per kilowatt-hour of electricity delivered to the grid. Meters at Power Grid Corporation of India connection points record actual generation each month, and payments flow from state electricity boards and central government buyers based on those readings, adjusted for any electricity lost in transmission. The prices are set in contracts that run for 20 to 25 years, so the revenue rate does not change with market conditions.
What makes this company hard to replace?
A buyer wanting to replace this company's supply would need a new developer to secure the same transmission access points from Power Grid Corporation of India — a process that requires multi-year technical studies and formal clearances. On top of that, swapping one renewable supplier for another inside an existing contract would require fresh Central Electricity Regulatory Commission approval, which takes time and is not guaranteed. The grid connection and the contract approval together make substitution slow and uncertain.
What limits this company?
To build new plants, the company must acquire land in Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Maharashtra — and each state runs its own approval process, its own rules on compensation, and its own environmental clearance system. None of that moves faster just because more money is available. The best wind corridors and sunniest zones in those states are filling up, so each new gigawatt means negotiating with more landowners, more competing projects, and more local authorities than the gigawatt before it.
What does this company depend on?
The company cannot operate without Central Electricity Authority environmental clearances for any project above 50 MW. It relies on Power Grid Corporation of India to physically connect its plants to the national grid. Solar panels come primarily from Chinese manufacturers, meaning Chinese trade policy directly affects what those panels cost. Wind turbines are sourced from Suzlon and Vestas under multi-year contracts. And during periods when sun and wind are low, Coal India Limited's thermal plants provide the grid balancing that keeps supply stable.
Who depends on this company?
State electricity boards in Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Maharashtra depend on this supply to meet mandatory renewable energy targets — if it stopped, they would face penalty payments and would have to buy more expensive power from thermal plants. Indian Railways holds traction power contracts through this company; losing that supply would push rail electricity costs up across the whole network. Distribution companies that serve industrial customers also rely on the company's output to meet legal requirements for green energy procurement.
How does this company scale?
Adding capacity is straightforward in engineering terms — new projects use the same turbine and panel designs and connect to the grid through the same standardized procedures. What does not get easier is land. As the most productive wind and solar zones fill up, the remaining parcels involve more fragmented groups of landowners, more competing claims from other industries, and longer negotiation timelines — so the administrative work per megawatt grows even as the technical work stays the same.
What external forces can significantly affect this company?
Chinese trade policy is a direct cost input: changes to solar module import duties or anti-dumping rules shift project capital costs immediately. Reserve Bank of India interest rate decisions affect how expensive it is to borrow money for projects that carry debt for twenty years. Access to cheaper international money through bodies like the Green Climate Fund and the World Bank depends on shifting global climate finance priorities, which the company cannot control.
Where is this company structurally vulnerable?
The whole structure rests on NTPC Limited's financial health. If NTPC Limited's credit rating falls — because its coal power plants underperform or because regulatory changes hit the coal sector — two things collapse at once: lenders no longer treat the parent's guarantee as reliable backing for the subsidiary's project debt, and state electricity board buyers lose confidence in the offtake contracts. Both the financing and the revenue stream were secured through NTPC Limited's standing, so both weaken together.
Price is read as structure — trend, levels, range, peak and volatility drawn on the chart. It does not predict where price goes next.
The reported statements, read against the company's own industry.
Financials view
Market Capitalization
784.07BINR
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Trailing P/E
150.08x
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Revenue (TTM)
28.58BINR
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Profit Margin
18.28%
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 17, 2026
52-Week Change
-16.86%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Market Capitalization
784.07BINR
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Enterprise Value
1.11TINR
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Trailing P/E
150.08x
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Profit Margin
18.28%
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Operating Margin
50.06%
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Return on Assets (TTM)
1.62%
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Shares Outstanding
8.43BSharesUpdated Jul 17, 2026
Float Shares
941.81MSharesUpdated Jul 17, 2026
% Held by Insiders
89.01%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 17, 2026
% Held by Institutions
6.33%
vs all stocks
52-Week Low
84.00INRUpdated Jul 17, 2026
52-Week High
119.95INRUpdated Jul 17, 2026
52-Week Change
-16.86%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 17, 2026
50-Day MA
99.93INRUpdated Jul 17, 2026
200-Day MA
96.96
3 interpretations currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Three observations co-occur: the weighted composite of net cash relative to market cap, OCF/revenue, operating margin, and ROE is in its elevated range; revenue increased every year for three years; net income was positive every year for three years. The configuration describes a present-state combination of capital structure, cash generation, profitability, and top-line growth.
Reads
Operating Income Growing With Multi-Year Revenue Growth
Three observations describe the present configuration: operating income increased year-over-year in each of the last four fiscal years, the 6-year revenue CAGR is positive, and revenue increased year-over-year in each of the last five fiscal years. None of the three observations divides by revenue.
Reads
Is this company growing?
Revenue Growth With Elevated Margin
Three observations align on a healthy multi-year growth profile: revenue grew every year over the trailing five-year window, operating margin in the most recent year is at an elevated level, and revenue grew every year over the trailing three-year window. Together they describe sustained top-line continuity at a high current margin level.
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
Shared structure with peers — never a ranking.
Relationships view
Structural observations derived from financial data, industry benchmarks, and supply chain position.