Pipes natural gas to 560,000 homes and businesses across central and northern New Jersey through 7,200 miles of underground mains it alone is licensed to operate.
At a glance
Depends onDownstream position: depends on 4 industries, supplies 2
Scale
Levered free cash flow is in the bottom 5% globally
FinancialsAltman Z-Score: grey zone
Interpretations4 currently firing — 3 · 1
What this company is and how it runs — written from structure, not news.
Nature view
New Jersey Resources holds the exclusive state franchise to deliver piped natural gas to 560,000 customers across central and northern New Jersey, moving gas from two interstate pipeline entry points at Lambertville and Perth Amboy through 7,200 miles of underground mains — and because no competing distributor is permitted in that territory, customers who want piped gas must take it from this system or replace their heating equipment entirely. The mains include aging cast iron and bare steel segments running beneath active New Jersey Transit rail corridors, which can only be replaced using horizontal directional drilling and multi-agency permitted sequencing, so the replacement program advances slowly and continuously rather than as a series of ordinary capital decisions. New Jersey's Infrastructure Investment Program was built to handle exactly that mismatch: it lets replacement costs flow into customer surcharges without waiting for a full rate case, which is what allows the company to keep spending on mandated pipe work faster than ordinary regulatory proceedings would allow. The whole arrangement depends on enough gas customers remaining to spread those surcharge costs across — if New Jersey's building-electrification push shrinks the heating customer base materially, the replacement obligations stay fixed while the revenue pool funding them gets smaller, and the financial logic holding the model together begins to unravel.
How does this company make money?
Each month, customers pay a fixed charge just for being connected, plus a volumetric charge based on how many thousand cubic feet of gas they use. On top of those standard rates, the company collects Infrastructure Investment Program surcharges — separate line items on bills that recover the cost of replacing old cast iron and bare steel pipes. All of these charges are set and approved by the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities.
What makes this company hard to replace?
The Board of Public Utilities franchise means no competing gas distributor is allowed in the territory, so there is nowhere else to get piped gas. Customers who do want to disconnect must get Board approval and give six months' notice before service can be ended. On top of that, the underground pipes connecting a building to the main network are already physically in place, and switching to a different fuel source means replacing equipment inside the building as well.
What limits this company?
Parts of the pipeline run directly beneath active New Jersey Transit rail lines. Replacing those sections requires horizontal directional drilling and micro-tunneling — specialized techniques that need permits from multiple agencies and take months to coordinate. That construction bottleneck controls how fast mandatory pipe replacements can happen. On top of that, once a replacement project is approved, the company typically waits 11 to 15 months before the new surcharge shows up in customer bills, so money goes out before it comes back in.
What does this company depend on?
The company cannot operate without delivery capacity from Texas Eastern Transmission and Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line, which are the only routes gas takes into the system. It also relies on the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities approving its distribution rates and surcharges. Backup supply comes from National Grid and Tennessee Gas Pipeline agreements. Meter reading infrastructure from Honeywell and Itron keeps billing running. And when interstate supply gets tight, the company taps capacity release markets on Pennsylvania pipelines.
Who depends on this company?
Atlantic Health System hospitals in Morris County lose backup heating during winter power outages if supply stops. Residential customers across Monmouth County are left without heat during polar vortex cold snaps. Industrial customers in Ocean County, including chemical facilities in Toms River, lose the process heat their operations require.
How does this company scale?
Adding new customers within the existing franchise territory is relatively straightforward — billing and meter reading systems extend to new connections without major new investment. Growth beyond that territory is a different matter: expanding geographically would require a new Board of Public Utilities franchise proceeding and separate interstate pipeline capacity contracts, because capacity already in place cannot simply be stretched across areas that are not connected to the current network.
What external forces can significantly affect this company?
New Jersey's 2019 Energy Master Plan is pushing buildings toward electric heat, which puts long-term pressure on how many customers will still want gas. Federal Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration rules are accelerating how fast the company must replace aging pipes, adding to capital costs. And the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative puts a price on carbon emissions, which makes electric heat pumps look cheaper by comparison and could push more customers toward switching.
Where is this company structurally vulnerable?
New Jersey's 2019 Energy Master Plan calls for buildings to switch from gas heat to electric heat over time. If enough heating customers disconnect, the pool of customers paying the Infrastructure Investment Program surcharges shrinks — but the cost of replacing old pipes does not. The company would still be legally required to complete those replacements while collecting less revenue to pay for them, which would crack the financial model the entire business runs on.
Price is read as structure — trend, levels, range, peak and volatility drawn on the chart. It does not predict where price goes next.
3 interpretations currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Multi-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value Growth
Three observations describe the present configuration: a high share of the trailing three years' weekly closes were higher than the prior week, the company has reported positive net income in each of the last five annual periods, and the book-value-increase-consistency composite over the trailing 5 years is elevated.
Reads
One-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And OCF Margin
Three observations describe the present configuration: a high share of the trailing year's weekly closes were higher than the prior week, the company has reported positive net income in each of the last three annual periods, and the industry-benchmarked TTM operating cash flow margin is in the upper peer range.
Reads
Close In Upper Portion Of Recent Range, Bollinger Bands, And RSI
Current close sits in the upper portion of the 14-week high-low range; current close sits in the upper portion of its 20-week Bollinger Bands; RSI sits above its 20-week recent mean (Bollinger %B applied to RSI).
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
What the company actually pays, and whether its own cash supports it.
Dividends view
Yield
3.24%Below 5Y avg (3.53%)
Annual Rate
USD 1.90Paid quarterly
Payout Ratio
55.6%Sustainable
Consecutive Growth
10 yrStrong track record
Paying Dividends
26 yr
Payback Period
31.6 yr
Last Ex-Dividend
Jun 10, 2026
Last Payment
Jul 1, 2026
The reported statements, read against the company's own industry.
Financials view
Market Capitalization
5.91BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Trailing P/E
17.39x
vs Utilities Regulated Gas peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Revenue (TTM)
2.18BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Profit Margin
15.67%
vs Utilities Regulated Gas peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Beta
0.5180x
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
52-Week Change
26.08%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Forward Annual Dividend Yield
3.24%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Market Capitalization
5.91BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Enterprise Value
9.55BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Trailing P/E
17.39x
vs Utilities Regulated Gas peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Gross Margin
43.71%
vs Utilities Regulated Gas peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Profit Margin
15.67%
vs Utilities Regulated Gas peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Operating Margin
32.04%
vs Utilities Regulated Gas peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Shares Outstanding
100.86MSharesUpdated Jul 19, 2026
Float Shares
100.29MSharesUpdated Jul 19, 2026
Shares Short
3.70MSharesUpdated Jul 19, 2026
Short Ratio
4.49days
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Short % of Shares Outstanding
52-Week Low
43.46USDUpdated Jul 19, 2026
52-Week High
60.69USDUpdated Jul 19, 2026
52-Week Change
26.08%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Beta
0.5180x
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
1 interpretation currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
High OCF-to-NI With Multi-Year Gross-Profit Growth and Elevated-Margin-With-Deceleration
OCF is at or above net income for the most recent year; gross profit increased across the last 4 year-over-year transitions; EBIT margin is above the company's historical median while recent sales growth is below baseline (industry-benchmarked composite).
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
Shared structure with peers — never a ranking.
Relationships view
Structural observations derived from financial data, industry benchmarks, and supply chain position.
Financial Health
Altman Z-Score: grey zoneSignificant
Altman Z-Score: 1.43
High earnings qualityNotable
Earnings Quality Score: 0.73
High structural barrier to entryNotable
Barrier to Entry: 1.21
Supply Chain
Downstream position: depends on 4 industries, supplies 2Notable
Outgoing: 2.00Incoming: 4.00
Scale
Levered free cash flow is in the bottom 5% globallySignificant
Multi-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value GrowthOne-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And OCF MarginClose In Upper Portion Of Recent Range, Bollinger Bands, And RSI
Multi-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value GrowthOne-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And OCF MarginClose In Upper Portion Of Recent Range, Bollinger Bands, And RSI