Terna - Rete Elettrica Nazionale SpA
TRN · Borsa Italiana · Italy
Price data from its 0LBM listing on LSE
terna.itFinancials as of FY2024–FY2025
Holds the government concession to run Italy's high-voltage electricity grid, earning most of its money from regulated tariffs rather than from competing for customers, alongside a smaller equipment and engineering services business.
- Depends onDownstream position: depends on 11 industries, supplies 6
- ScaleLevered free cash flow is -$918M, lower than 95% of all stocks globally
- FinancialsAltman Z-Score 1.14: grey zone
- Interpretations1 currently firing — 1
What this company is and how it runs — written from structure, not news.
Terna's own account describes it as sitting between the power plants that generate electricity and the households and businesses that consume it. It describes its coordinating job as keeping what generators put onto the grid continuously matched with what consumers draw off it, while operating and extending the physical network that carries that flow between the two.
Terna's own account describes revenue coming mainly from regulated charges: a fee paid by distributors that is mostly a fixed charge for reserved grid capacity rather than for the electricity actually carried, plus a charge on parties that use its dispatching service, paid in proportion to the energy they dispatch. It also reports a smaller share of revenue from unregulated engineering, equipment and connectivity services sold to other parties, most of it earned within Italy but some elsewhere in Europe and beyond.
This kind of regulated-return arrangement is not unique to Terna. CompanyGraph reads a substantial group of other companies as running the same kind of system, so its position sits within a broader band of other companies shaped the same way, rather than standing alone. This kind of system tends to scale by expanding its regulated physical network through approved capital investment, then earning a return on that larger asset base once a regulator allows it into the charges paid by users, rather than by growing sales volume the way a competitive business would. Terna's own account describes a multi-year programme to develop and reinforce the grid, which is consistent with that mechanism, though CompanyGraph has not independently verified the return calculation from recomputed financial statements.
Terna's own account lists its inputs as electrical and electronic components, machinery, structural metal products, base and non-ferrous metals, and specialized construction and installation labor, and states that this work is contracted mostly to operators within Italy and the rest of the European Union. It also names reliance on information and communication technology infrastructure to run its operations, and flags pressure on suppliers' production capacity and shortages of specialized technical skills as risks to its own plans. Separately, CompanyGraph's mapping places it downstream of a range of other industries that feed inputs into this kind of system.
Terna's own account describes its direct customers as the distributors connected to its grid, who pay a transmission charge, and dispatching users, who pay for the balancing service in proportion to the energy they dispatch. It discloses that a concentrated group of customers, all classified within the energy market, together account for a large share of revenue, without naming them individually. Behind those direct relationships sits a much larger, indirect base of households and businesses whose electricity moves across its grid. CompanyGraph's mapping also places it upstream of a smaller number of industries it supplies beyond the domestic electricity system.
Its own disclosures describe its regulated grid activities as operating under a government concession, rather than something it wins repeatedly in an open market. A concession of that kind is typically granted rather than something a rival can simply decide to replicate. CompanyGraph reads a large number of other companies elsewhere as holding a similar kind of concession-based regulated position, so this form of protection is common across that group rather than something that sets Terna apart from other companies shaped the same way. CompanyGraph does not have evidence here about whether the concession is exclusive, or about rivals' capacity to replicate its execution, only that this general shape of protection is shared, not rare.
CompanyGraph tests every company of this kind against a general pattern: that its scale is bound by its regulatory arrangement, specifically by how much of the investment it wants to make a regulator allows into the returns it is permitted to earn. Terna's own account is consistent with a related but more specific limit: it describes itself as constrained on the supply side rather than by demand, pointing to authorization processes and local opposition as sources of delay, and to pressure on suppliers' production capacity and shortages of specialized technical skills as causes of delay or added cost to its build programme. This is the company's own framing of what limits it, not a calculation CompanyGraph has independently verified.
CompanyGraph's own reading of the financial pattern here shows several solvency indicators converging at an elevated level at once: a composite distress measure, the share of assets funded by debt, and the size of debt relative to cash generated from operations. Taken together these describe balance-sheet pressure from more than one angle, though CompanyGraph treats this as a pattern in the numbers, not a verified statement that distress is occurring, since it has not been able to recompute this from a complete set of income statements. Separately, in its own risk disclosures the company lists operational risk first, ahead of legal and contractual risk, compliance, counterparty risk, natural or human-induced events, and external or market risk, and it has disclosed that a concentrated group of large customers, all in the energy market, together make up a large share of its revenue without being individually named.
Terna's own account names ARERA and the Ministry of Economic Development as the bodies setting the rules for its core activity, and describes operating under a government concession that defines its remit, so regulatory and authorization decisions are a direct external pressure on it. Its filings name authorization delays and local opposition to new projects as pressures on its build programme, alongside pressure on suppliers' production capacity, shortages of specialized technical skills, reliance on information and communication technology, and exposure to extreme weather, cyberattack and fraud. It also names legal, contractual, compliance and counterparty risk, and a residual foreign exchange exposure tied to its manufacturing subsidiaries, among the pressures it monitors.
Read from the company's own filings and public materials (gathered August 2026) together with figures CompanyGraph recomputed from its statements. Written September 2026. A question with no evidence behind it is left out rather than answered.
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Sign inWhat the company actually pays, and whether its own cash supports it.
The reported statements, read against the company's own industry.
The statements on file don't all cover the same year: income statement FY2025, balance sheet FY2024, cash-flow statement FY2024. Each figure below is labelled with the year it comes from.
1 interpretation currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Screen for these patternsWhere is this company structurally exposed?
Within or Near the Altman Distress Zone
Debt is a large share of its assets, and large against its cash flow.
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
Shared structure with peers — never a ranking.
Structural observations derived from financial data, industry benchmarks, and supply chain position.
Financial Health
Supply Chain
Scale
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Companies that share active interpretations — structural patterns currently present in both stocks.
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