Levered free cash flow is in the bottom 5% globally
FinancialsAltman Z-Score: distress zone
Interpretations12 currently firing — 3 · 9
What this company is and how it runs — written from structure, not news.
Nature view
China Green Electricity Investment Corporation converts wind, solar, and hydroelectric resources into grid-delivered electricity across Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and river systems in China, selling that electricity to State Grid Corporation at tariff rates set by the National Development and Reform Commission. Because it is a state-owned enterprise, it receives grid connection permits through direct SOE-to-SOE coordination with State Grid Corporation rather than joining the commercial queue that private developers must enter, and the same institutional relationship also unlocks policy bank financing and embeds it inside the dispatch-scheduling hierarchy that determines how much of its installed capacity actually reaches the grid and earns revenue. The practical ceiling on that revenue is not how many turbines or panels the company has built but how much transmission capacity exists between its generation sites in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang and the demand centres in eastern China, where provincial grid operators curtail renewable output in favour of thermal plants whenever supply exceeds what the lines can carry. All three advantages — the financing, the grid access, and the tariff — are not separate assets but expressions of a single political classification, so if the central government were to redirect policy bank mandates or reorder which state-owned enterprises receive preferential treatment under its 2060 carbon neutrality programme, all three would shift at once.
How does this company make money?
The main source of income is feed-in tariff payments from State Grid Corporation: each unit of electricity measured at the grid connection point earns a fixed price set by the National Development and Reform Commission. On top of that, the company sells renewable energy certificates to industrial companies that need to prove they are using green electricity, often to satisfy export compliance requirements. It also earns money from carbon offset credits traded through China's national emissions trading system.
What makes this company hard to replace?
The power purchase agreements State Grid Corporation has signed with the company include specific performance guarantees and technical grid code requirements that a new supplier would need years to qualify for. Provincial governments that have allocated renewable energy certificates based on this company's output would have to renegotiate those allocations if they moved to a different provider. The physical grid infrastructure — the connection points, line sizing, and system configurations — was built around this company's specific generation profile and cannot simply be handed over to a different renewable energy developer.
What limits this company?
The transmission lines connecting Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang to the cities in eastern China that actually consume the power are not large enough to carry everything the company can generate. When too much electricity is available at once, provincial grid operators cut back wind and solar output and keep coal plants running instead. That curtailment cap — not how many turbines or panels are installed, and not how much money is available — is what limits how much electricity actually reaches the grid and earns a tariff payment.
What does this company depend on?
The company cannot operate without land use rights approved by county-level governments in the provinces where it builds. It needs grid connection permits from State Grid Corporation to deliver any electricity at all. It relies on wind turbines and solar panels that meet China's domestic content requirements. The feed-in tariff that converts electricity into revenue is set by the National Development and Reform Commission. And every project requires environmental impact assessments approved by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment before construction can begin.
Who depends on this company?
State Grid Corporation uses the company's contracted generation capacity to meet national renewable energy procurement targets; without it, those targets would face shortfalls. Industrial manufacturers in eastern provinces buy green electricity certificates from the company to prove their exports meet clean energy standards; losing that source would leave them without certified renewable energy. Provincial governments rely on its output to hit mandated clean energy percentage targets; if the company stopped generating, those governments would struggle to meet their renewable portfolio standards.
How does this company scale?
Each additional wind or solar installation becomes cheaper to build once grid interconnection infrastructure is already in place across a province, so generation capacity can be added at declining cost. What does not get cheaper or faster is the grid integration approval process: State Grid Corporation's connection permits cannot be accelerated by spending more money, so every new project still faces the same development timeline bottleneck no matter how large or well-financed the company becomes.
What external forces can significantly affect this company?
China's commitment to carbon neutrality by 2060 is pushing the government to expand renewable energy mandates and retire coal plants faster, which creates more demand for what the company produces but also changes which projects get priority. U.S.-China trade tensions put pressure on the supply chains for solar panels and wind turbine components. The Belt and Road Initiative creates opportunities to invest in renewable energy projects overseas, which pulls domestic capital away from projects inside China.
Where is this company structurally vulnerable?
If the central government decided to redirect policy bank lending away from this company — by changing which state-owned enterprises qualify for preferential treatment, or by reshuffling renewable energy priorities under the 2060 carbon neutrality plan — the company would lose its financing channel, its grid access shortcut, and its embedded tariff relationship all at once. Those three advantages are not separate licences the company holds independently; they are all products of the same political classification, so a single reclassification decision removes all of them simultaneously.
Price is read as structure — trend, levels, range, peak and volatility drawn on the chart. It does not predict where price goes next.
3 interpretations currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Three observations describe the present configuration: the fast moving average sits below the slow moving average, the company has been profitable for three years, and cash-flow margin is elevated.
Reads
Near Multi-Tested Low
Two structural conditions align: (1) a multi-year price band exists where the stock has, on at least two separated occasions, stopped declining and bounced upward, and (2) current price is back inside or just above that zone after a meaningful drawdown from peak. The retest is a real one — the stock is not at a new all-time high being measured as a low.
Reads
One-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And OCF Margin
Three observations describe the present configuration: a high share of the trailing year's weekly closes were higher than the prior week, the company has reported positive net income in each of the last three annual periods, and the industry-benchmarked TTM operating cash flow margin is in the upper peer range.
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
What the company actually pays, and whether its own cash supports it.
Dividends view
Yield
2.31%Above 5Y avg (1.71%)
Annual Rate
CNY 0.17Paid unknown
Payout Ratio
79.0%Moderate
Payback Period
44.8 yr
Last Ex-Dividend
Jun 26, 2026
The reported statements, read against the company's own industry.
Financials view
Market Capitalization
14.23BCNY
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Trailing P/E
23.00x
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Revenue (TTM)
5.04BCNY
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Profit Margin
12.60%
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Beta
-0.0770x
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
52-Week Change
-18.75%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Forward Annual Dividend Yield
2.31%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Market Capitalization
14.23BCNY
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Enterprise Value
82.62BCNY
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Trailing P/E
23.00x
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Gross Margin
36.93%
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Profit Margin
12.60%
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Operating Margin
31.34%
vs Utilities Renewable peers
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Shares Outstanding
2.06BSharesUpdated Jul 14, 2026
Float Shares
631.99MSharesUpdated Jul 14, 2026
% Held by Insiders
69.64%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
% Held by Institutions
2.72%
vs all stocks
52-Week Low
6.77CNYUpdated Jul 14, 2026
52-Week High
13.41CNYUpdated Jul 14, 2026
52-Week Change
-18.75%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
Beta
-0.0770x
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 14, 2026
9 interpretations currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Three financing observations align: debt issuance is large relative to operating cash flow, absolute financing cash flow is large relative to operating cash flow, and long-term debt is a large share of total debt. Together they describe heavy financing activity with a long-term-debt-dominant mix.
Reads
How does this company use capital?
Diagnostic
High OCF-to-NI With Multi-Year Gross-Profit Growth and Elevated-Margin-With-Deceleration
OCF is at or above net income for the most recent year; gross profit increased across the last 4 year-over-year transitions; EBIT margin is above the company's historical median while recent sales growth is below baseline (industry-benchmarked composite).
Reads
Diagnostic
High ROE With Large Non-Operating Gap and Elevated-Margin-With-Deceleration
Net income is high relative to shareholders' equity; the absolute value of (pretax income − operating income) is large relative to sales; EBIT margin is above the company's historical median while recent sales growth is below baseline (industry-benchmarked).
Reads
Revenue Growing With Receivables Growing
Three observations align: revenue has increased every year over the trailing three years, receivables have increased every year over the trailing four years, and operating cash flow margin is on the industry-benchmarked scale. The picture is concurrent growth in revenue and receivables with peer-relative cash-conversion context.
Reads
Is this company growing?
Revenue Growth With Elevated Margin
Three observations align on a healthy multi-year growth profile: revenue grew every year over the trailing five-year window, operating margin in the most recent year is at an elevated level, and revenue grew every year over the trailing three-year window. Together they describe sustained top-line continuity at a high current margin level.
Reads
How is this stock valued?
Close Below 40W SMA With Profitability
Three observations describe the present configuration: the current close sits below the 40-week SMA (the conventional 'below 200-day SMA'), the company has reported positive net income in each of the last three annual periods, and operating cash flow exceeded net income in the most recent annual period.
Reads
Where is this company structurally exposed?
Within or Near the Altman Distress Zone
Three solvency observations have converged at elevated readings: a multi-factor distress composite is high, debt is a large share of assets, and total debt is large relative to trailing operating cash flow. Together they describe structural pressure from three different angles.
Reads
Ulcer Index Elevated, Drawdown From Peak Significant, 20-Week Volatility Elevated
Three price-behavior observations have aligned: the ulcer index (drawdown depth and duration composite) is elevated, current drawdown from peak is significant, and 20-week annualized volatility is in the upper portion of its mapped range.
Reads
Receivables Heavy and Growing
Two structural observations align: accounts receivable have increased year-over-year across the trailing four years, and receivables are a large share of current assets. Together they describe a receivables-heavy balance sheet whose receivables line keeps growing.
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
Shared structure with peers — never a ranking.
Relationships view
Structural observations derived from financial data, industry benchmarks, and supply chain position.
Revenue Growing With Receivables GrowingNear Multi-Tested LowUlcer Index Elevated, Drawdown From Peak Significant, 20-Week Volatility ElevatedClose Below 40W SMA With ProfitabilityHigh OCF-to-NI With Multi-Year Gross-Profit Growth and Elevated-Margin-With-DecelerationFast SMA Below Slow SMA With Profitability
Receivables Heavy and GrowingRevenue Growing With Receivables GrowingNear Multi-Tested LowClose Below 40W SMA With ProfitabilityHigh OCF-to-NI With Multi-Year Gross-Profit Growth and Elevated-Margin-With-DecelerationFast SMA Below Slow SMA With Profitability
Receivables Heavy and GrowingNear Multi-Tested LowUlcer Index Elevated, Drawdown From Peak Significant, 20-Week Volatility ElevatedClose Below 40W SMA With ProfitabilityWithin or Near the Altman Distress Zone