Use to find companies where this pattern is active.
Price is stretched below its one-year mean in standard-deviation terms, while net income decreased year-over-year over the trailing four years and total assets decreased year-over-year over the trailing four years. The depressed-price reading coincides with two contracting fundamental line items.
State
Price stretched below 1y mean alongside net-income and total-asset year-over-year decreases (4y)
Emergence
Price is stretched several standard deviations below its one-year mean while two line-item directional observations have been negative. Net income has decreased year-over-year over the trailing four years and total assets have decreased year-over-year over the trailing four years. The composition note: the depressed-price reading coincides with contracting line items on the income statement and balance sheet.
Limits
This interpretation identifies a co-occurrence between a stretched-below-mean price position and recent line-item declines, not a deeper-decline prediction. The 'inverse-zscore-1y' obs is positional only — it measures distance below the rolling mean in standard-deviation terms, not literal 52-week range position (a stock in a tight range that then dropped can be -2σ without being at the range low). It does not claim the business will keep deteriorating, predict recovery timing, or assess whether the market is right.
Explanation
This diagnostic records a co-occurrence reading: Surface reading: Price below its recent mean suggests the stock is cheap relative to its own one-year history. Structural reality: Price Stretched Below Mean (Z-Score, 1Y) records that the current price sits a meaningful number of standard deviations below its 52-week mean. The reading is positional — it does not literally place the close at the 52-week low, only at a stretched-below-mean position. Net Income Decreased Year-Over-Year (4 years) indicates net income has been falling. Total Assets Decreased Year-Over-Year (4 years) indicates the asset base has contracted in parallel. The combination shows the stretched-below-mean price sitting alongside contracting fundamental line items. Whether the contraction continues or reverses is not directly observed.
Interpretation
Co-occurrence of a stretched-below-mean price-position reading (z-score, 1y) with fundamental decrease trajectories. The formulas record present price position relative to its rolling mean and multi-year fundamental direction; they do not predict further decline or recovery. The interpretationKey 'apparent-range-low-structural-decline' is preserved for URL stability; the wired obs reads distance below mean, not literal 52-week range position.
Required Observations
Inverse Zscore 1y
Current price sits well below its mean over the lookback window, in standard-deviation terms.
Net Income Decreased Yoy 4y
Net income has decreased year-over-year across the most recent 4 fiscal years.
Total Assets Decreased Yoy 4y
Total assets have decreased year-over-year across the most recent 4 fiscal years.