PositionOperating margin is in the bottom 5% of Asset Management peers
Interpretations4 currently firing — 3 · 1
What this company is and how it runs — written from structure, not news.
Nature view
Hannon Armstrong buys energy efficiency equipment — LED systems, HVAC upgrades, distributed solar arrays — installs it on client properties, and collects lease payments under agreements that can run 15 to 20 years. Because the IRS treats those leases as real-estate-secured income, the company qualifies as a REIT, which means it pays no corporate tax on income it passes straight through to shareholders as dividends — and that tax-efficient yield is what attracts investors in the first place. The same IRS rules require that 90% of taxable income leave as dividends each year, so the company cannot stockpile earnings to fund new acquisitions and must go back to debt and equity markets after every distribution cycle to keep buying assets. All of it — the yield, the growth, the capital-raising — depends on the IRS continuing to treat energy efficiency equipment as qualifying REIT property; if that classification changed, the tax advantage would vanish and the investors the whole model relies on would have no particular reason to stay.
How does this company make money?
Most revenue comes from lease payments made by property owners and governments for the LED systems, HVAC equipment, and solar arrays installed on their properties. Those leases are structured either as operating leases or finance leases depending on the type of asset. Government contracts often add a stable layer of income backed by federal or local appropriations. Some contracts are tied to measured energy savings — meaning the company gets paid based on how much energy the upgraded building actually saves compared to before.
What makes this company hard to replace?
Once a lease is signed, the client is locked into 15 to 20 years of payments tied to equipment installed on their specific property — there is no clean way to hand that agreement to a different financing provider mid-term. In states where C-PACE is used, the financing attaches as a senior lien to the property tax bill, which means any future lender or buyer of that property has to deal with it first, making it very hard to refinance away. Government clients face an additional barrier: switching to a new financing partner typically requires going through a multi-year requalification and procurement process all over again.
What limits this company?
Because 90% of taxable income must leave the company as dividends every year, there are almost no retained earnings left to buy new equipment. Every new acquisition requires the company to raise fresh money from debt or equity markets first. If borrowing costs rise or investors lose appetite for its shares, the number of new projects it can take on in a given year shrinks directly.
What does this company depend on?
The company cannot operate without five named inputs. First, IRS REIT rules that classify its energy equipment leases as qualifying real-estate income — without that, the whole structure falls apart. Second, Equipment Service Companies and Energy Service Companies (ESCOs) that find and originate projects for the company to acquire. Third, federal investment tax credits and production tax credits for renewable energy, which make individual projects financially attractive. Fourth, Commercial Property Assessed Clean Energy (C-PACE) financing programs run by individual states, which enable the property-secured lending structure. Fifth, Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP) contracts that direct government building efficiency work toward qualified partners.
Who depends on this company?
State and local governments using it to retrofit public buildings for climate goals would lose a way to do those upgrades without putting up cash upfront. Universities and hospitals working toward carbon-neutrality targets would face a gap in affordable financing for distributed solar and efficiency projects. Commercial real estate owners in states with C-PACE programs would lose access to long-term, property-secured clean energy loans that sit outside their normal mortgage stack.
How does this company scale?
The legal templates and due diligence checklists the company uses to buy and lease energy assets get cheaper to run as it does more deals — the same contracts and processes repeat across projects. What does not get easier automatically is geographic growth: entering a new state requires building local origination relationships with ESCOs and understanding that state's specific PACE rules, and that groundwork has to be done market by market and cannot be automated from a central office.
What external forces can significantly affect this company?
Federal renewable energy tax credits are scheduled to phase down over time, which directly shrinks the economics of new solar and efficiency acquisitions. If a state repeals or weakens its PACE enabling legislation, the company loses access to that state's market entirely. Rising interest rates hurt the company from two directions at once: they make it more expensive to borrow money for new acquisitions, and they make the company's dividend yield look less attractive to income-focused investors who can now get competitive returns from safer places.
Where is this company structurally vulnerable?
If the IRS issued a ruling, reinterpretation, or if Congress changed the law to say that energy efficiency equipment or distributed solar installations do not count as qualifying real-property assets, the company would immediately fail the REIT composition tests. It would lose its pass-through tax status, its dividend yield would fall, and the investors who fund its growth would have little reason to keep lending or buying shares. The growth engine and the tax advantage would collapse at the same moment.
Price is read as structure — trend, levels, range, peak and volatility drawn on the chart. It does not predict where price goes next.
3 interpretations currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Multi-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value Growth
Three observations describe the present configuration: a high share of the trailing three years' weekly closes were higher than the prior week, the company has reported positive net income in each of the last five annual periods, and the book-value-increase-consistency composite over the trailing 5 years is elevated.
Reads
Near Multi-Tested High
Two structural conditions align: (1) a multi-year price band exists where the stock has, on at least two separated occasions, stopped advancing and pulled back, and (2) current price is back inside or just below that zone, near the top of its recent trading range. The retest is happening at a level the stock has reached before and turned away from.
Reads
One-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And OCF Margin
Three observations describe the present configuration: a high share of the trailing year's weekly closes were higher than the prior week, the company has reported positive net income in each of the last three annual periods, and the industry-benchmarked TTM operating cash flow margin is in the upper peer range.
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
What the company actually pays, and whether its own cash supports it.
Dividends view
Yield
4.42%Below 5Y avg (4.99%)
Annual Rate
USD 1.70Paid quarterly
Payout Ratio
421.3%High
Consecutive Growth
7 yr
Paying Dividends
14 yr
Payback Period
22.7 yr
Last Ex-Dividend
Jul 2, 2026
Last Payment
Jul 10, 2026
The reported statements, read against the company's own industry.
Financials view
Market Capitalization
4.91BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Trailing P/E
97.20x
vs Asset Management peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Revenue (TTM)
87.91MUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Profit Margin
63.67%
vs Asset Management peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Beta
1.42x
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
52-Week Change
43.57%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Forward Annual Dividend Yield
4.42%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Market Capitalization
4.91BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Enterprise Value
10.24BUSD
vs all stocks (USD)
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Trailing P/E
97.20x
vs Asset Management peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Profit Margin
63.67%
vs Asset Management peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Operating Margin
-123.77%
vs Asset Management peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Return on Assets (TTM)
0.72%
vs Asset Management peers
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Shares Outstanding
127.80MSharesUpdated Jul 19, 2026
Float Shares
125.49MSharesUpdated Jul 19, 2026
Shares Short
11.46MSharesUpdated Jul 19, 2026
Short Ratio
9.28days
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Short % of Shares Outstanding
52-Week Low
24.38USDUpdated Jul 19, 2026
52-Week High
44.13USDUpdated Jul 19, 2026
52-Week Change
43.57%
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
Beta
1.42x
vs all stocks
Updated Jul 19, 2026
1 interpretation currently present — each is a set of fired observations whose alignment reads as one structural pattern. Click an observation to see the numbers behind it.
Three financing observations align: debt issuance is large relative to operating cash flow, absolute financing cash flow is large relative to operating cash flow, and long-term debt is a large share of total debt. Together they describe heavy financing activity with a long-term-debt-dominant mix.
Reads
An interpretation is present only while every observation it reads stays fired (score ≥ 70). It describes what the aligned readings show — never a verdict, never a prediction.
Shared structure with peers — never a ranking.
Relationships view
Structural observations derived from financial data, industry benchmarks, and supply chain position.
Peer Positioning
Operating margin is in the bottom 5% of Asset Management peersSignificant
Operating margin: -1.24Industry P5: -1.04
Debt-to-equity is above 95% of Asset Management peersSignificant
Debt-to-equity: 2.13Industry P95: 1.68
P/E ratio is above 95% of Asset Management peersSignificant
Debt Financing ActivityMulti-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value GrowthOne-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And OCF MarginNear Multi-Tested High
Debt Financing ActivityMulti-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And Book-Value GrowthOne-Year Up-Close-Week Share With Profitability And OCF MarginNear Multi-Tested High