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Three observations have aligned: recent 10-week Average True Range is above its prior 10-week window (ATR expansion), the volatility-expansion-breakout observation is firing, and current-week volume is well above the 30-week average.
State
ATR expanding, volatility-expansion-breakout firing, volume-breakout firing
Emergence
Three observations align on present-state expansion. ATR (Average True Range) has expanded above its prior 10-week window. The volatility-expansion-breakout observation is firing. Current-week volume is well above the 30-week average baseline. The three readings describe a present co-occurrence of larger price ranges, a breakout indicator firing, and elevated volume — not a directional claim or a forecast.
Limits
This interpretation records three present-state observations and does not predict direction. Volatility expansion can be upward or downward, can persist or revert, and can be followed by either continuation or mean reversion. The volume reading describes current-week deviation from baseline, not sustained participation.
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Explanation
Each observation reads a present-state expansion measure: ATR Expansion compares the recent 10-week Average True Range to its prior 10-week window. A high score means current-period ranges are wider than those of the immediately preceding window. Volatility Expansion Breakout fires when a volatility-breakout indicator detects current readings outside the prior baseline. The observation is a present-state firing flag, not a forward predictor. Volume Spike measures current-week volume divided by the 30-week average volume. A high score means current-week volume is well above the 30-week baseline. The observation is a single-week deviation reading — it does not test for sustained participation. When all three align, the configuration is a present-state co-occurrence of larger ranges, a breakout observation firing, and elevated current-week volume — direction-agnostic. Volatility expansion can lead to either continuation or mean reversion; the observations do not distinguish.
Interpretation
This interpretation identifies a present-state co-occurrence of three expansion observations. It does not predict whether the expansion is upward or downward, how long it will last, or its magnitude.
Required Observations
Recent Average True Range Above Its Prior 10-Week Window (ATR)
The average weekly trading range of the last ten weeks is wider than the ten weeks before.
Price Above Prior Range With Expanding ATR
The latest close is above the prior 10-week range high, and the average true range has widened.
Volume Spike
Volume this week is well above its 30-week average.